Dr Gregor C. Leckebusch PhD

 

Senior Lecturer in Meteorology and Climatology

School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences

Gregor C. Leckerbusch

Contact details

School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Science
University of Birmingham
Edgbaston
Birmingham
B15 2TT
UK

About

Dr Gregor Leckebusch is one of the foremost experts in the field of linking natural science research on meteorological and climatological extreme events with the estimation of natural hazards damage potentials. He played a key role in several national and international interdisciplinary projects dedicated to the assessment of natural and anthropogenic changes in extreme events and impacts of climate change to economy and society.

Biography

Dr Gregor Leckebusch studied Meteorology at the University of Cologne (Germany), where he completed his PhD on meteorological diagnostics of polar ice cores by means of paleoclimate model simulations. He subsequently worked as a Postdoc to regional extreme event modelling and impact assessment. He acted as Associate Professor from 2004 to 2010 (Habilitation 2009) at Freie University of Berlin (Institute for Meteorology) and substituted the chair of Dynamical Meteorology at the University of Leipzig (2010/2011) before taking up the post of Senior Lecturer at Birmingham.

Teaching

Teaching activities at all levels e.g. in dynamical and synoptic meteorology, polar meteorology, general meteorology and climatology, weather prediction and impact assessment, and practical meteorological observation courses. In Birmingham (MSc in Applied Meteorology and Climatology) he is leader of the modules “Meteorological Applications and Services” and “Physical Climatology”. He contributes to the module “Weather, Climate and Society”.

Postgraduate supervision

Dr Leckebusch offers a wide range of postgraduate supervision, spanning from pure meteorological topics (e.g. studies to extreme wind storms) to impact research (e.g. trends of forest fire under future climate conditions). Actual or recently finished supervisions:

  • Jens Grieger: Anthropogenic Climate Change and its influence of extreme cyclone development around Antarctica. (FU Berlin)
  • Auwal Farouk Abdussalam: Climate Change and Variability: The Impacts on Climate-Sensitive Diseases in the 2050s for North-Western Nigeria. (UoB)
  • Tim Kruschke: A transferfunction for downscaling extreme storm events (FU Berlin)
  • Tobias Pardowitz: Analysis of the impact of extreme wind storms under ACC for the state of Hesse.(FU Berlin)
  • Daniel Befort: Modeling extreme phases of the South-Asian Monsoon in paleoclimates and future climate conditions. (FU Berlin)
  • Dominik Renggli: Seasonal predictability of wind storms over Europe. (FU Berlin)

For more information on possible projects see FindAPhD.

Research

Acquisition of extramural research funding

Applicant (actual projects)

  • ABS-EQECAT
    European storm risk and future changes, collaboration for risk assessment and risk modelling
  • German Insurance Association (GDV: Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft)
    Assessment of potential impacts of anthropogenic climate change on the German insurance economy. Cooperation with Potsdam Institute for climate impact research (PIK, Prof. Dr. H. Held)
  • AXA Research Fonds 
    EuFloLoss: Large-Scale European Flooding under Climate Change: Meteorological and hydrological conditions translated to economic loss. Cooperated project with GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam (GFZ, Prof. B. Merz)
  • DFG Forschergruppe HIMPAC
    Himalaya: Modern and Past Climates, Project proposal: IP8: Monsoon variability and its physical mechanisms under different paleo- and future climate conditions. Speaker: Prof. M. Strecker (UniversityPotsdam)
  • DFG Forschergruppe 584
    Earth rotation and Global Dynamic Processes, Project P10: Long-term ERP time series as indicators for global climate variability and climate change (ERP-CLIVAR)
  • DFG Research program “Antarctic Research, SPP 1158” (LE1865/1-1/2)
    The shift of Southern Hemisphere storminess under anthropogenic climate change around Antarctica and its impacts.
  • Munich Re
    Event set catalogue for the estimation of the frequency and impacts of extreme extra-tropical storms over Europe.
  • Hessian State agency of Environment and Geology
    ABS-Hessen: Anthropogenic impact on the European storm climate and potential consequences for the Hessian region.
  • Hans-Ertel-Zentrum für Wetterforschung beim DWD: WEXICOM-Berlin
    Improving the process of weather warnings and extreme weather information in the chain from the meteorological forecasts to their communication for the Berlin conurbation.

Past Projects

  • BMBF RegioExAkt
    Regional risks of convective extreme events: Concepts for Stakeholders and adaptation
    Project: Frequency and intensity of convective extreme events under future climate conditions and its regional forecast potentials
  • EU Contract no.: 036961 CIRCE
    Climate Change and Impact Research: the Mediterranean Environment. EU 6th Integrated Framework Program.
  • Munich Re
    Seasonal predictability of frequencies of winter storms over Europe.
  • DFG SP 191/21-1/2
    Southern Hemispheric circulation anomalies related to ENSO and its impacts on Antarctica.
  • DFG SP 191/25-1/2
    Interactions of the variability of katabatic drainage flows from Antarctica with the Southern Hemispheric circulation on different time and spatial scales. 
  • EU EVK2-CT-2001-00118
    MICE: Modelling the Impact of Climate Extremes. EU 5th Integrated Framework Programme.
  • EU Proposal no. 505539
    ENSEMBLES: ENSEMBLE-based Predictions of Climate Changes and their Impacts. EU 6th Integrated Framework Programme.
  • FU Berlin “University of Excellence special funding scheme”
    Centre for Scientific Simulation: Advanced Methods of Time Series Analysis and their Application to Climate Research and Insurance Risk Optimization. 

Other activities

  • Member of the German Meteorological Society (DMG)
  • Member of the European Geosciences Union (EGU)
  • Member of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)
  • Member of the CLM user community
    (CLM = Climate version of the Lokal-Modell of the German Weather Service (DWD))
  • Head of working group “Evaluation” in the CLM community
  • Member of the COSMO-CLM Coordination committee
  • Assisting Chairman of the user group committee of the German High Performance Computing Centre for Climate- and Earth System Research (DKRZ) (2002 – 2004)
  • Geo.X - Coordinator for Freie Universität Berlin, Faculty of Geosciences (www.geo-x.net); Geo-Research cluster in the area Berlin-Brandenburg (2009-2010)
  • Member of the IMILAST- Coordination group (IMILAST-Project: Intercomparison of mid latitude storm diagnostics; http://www.proclim.ch/IMILAST/)
  • External expert consulter at University of Arba Minch (Ethiopia) to establish a new study programme (BSc, MSc) in the field of Meteorology and Hydrology in accordance with the European Bologna process at the Water Technology Institute, University of Arba Minch, Ethiopia. Collaboration with DAAD and GTZ (27.08.2008 – 25.09.2008)
  • Radiosonde campaign at Parakou (Benin, West-Africa) in the framework of the research initiative IMPETUS (Integrative Management Project for efficient and sustainable Use of freshwater in West-Africa) (12.07.2002 – 20.08.2002) 

Reviews

  • Peer reviews for scientific journals, e.g. J. Climate, Meteorol. Z., Climate Dynamics, Climatic Change, Climate Research, TellusA, NHESS, etc.
  • Referee for grant applications e.g. NERC (UK), BSF (USA), etc.
  • Referee for the IPCC Working Group II, Fourth Assessment Report Cross-chapter Case Study: The European 2003 heat wave.

Organisation of scientific sessions at international conferences and symposia

  • "Zugang zu meteorologischen Daten", internationale Fortbildungsveranstaltung und Podiumsdiskussion für den Zweigverein Rheinland der Deutschen Meteorologischen Gesellschaft. Köln, 1996.
  • "Employment Options for Professionals in Meteorology and Hydrology – Implications for Curriculum Development." Addis Ababa, 22.09.2008.
  • Convener of session "Mid-latitude Cyclones and Storms: Diagnostics of Observed and Future Trends, and related Impacts", "European Geosciences Union" General Assembly, Vienna, 2009; 2010, 2011, 2012.
  • Co-Convener of session "Urban Climate",11th EMS Annual Meeting; 10th European Conference on Applications of Meteorology (ECAM), 12 – 16 September 2011, Berlin, Germany.
  • Member of the Programme and Science Committee (PSC) of the 11th EMS Annual Meeting / 10th European Conference on Applications of Meteorology (ECAM), 12 – 16 September 2011, Berlin, Germany. 

Awards

  • The Gordon Manley Weather Prize of the Royal Meterological Society
    The Prize for 2008 is awarded to Professor Andreas Fink and meteorology colleagues at the Institute for Geophysics and Meteorology, Cologne, Germany. London, 18 June 2008

     “Andreas Fink and a variety of colleagues have CO-authored a wide range of case studies of extreme weather events over Europe that have been published in Weather since the mid 1990s. The subjects have ranged from the mid-latitude storms of January 1999 to the central European floods of 2002, the heat and drought of summer 2003 and Snow accumulation in winter 2005. Each of the resulting articles has been distinguished by a careful balance between comprehensive meteorological analysis of the causes and impacts of the weather events and a lucid and accessible written style. As such, these articles embody many of the aims of Weather.”

    Given under the seal of the society, 18th June 2008

Publications

Selected publications

Peer reviewed publications

Donat, M.G., G. C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, and U. Ulbrich, 2011: Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds inferred from GCM and RCM multi-model simulations. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 1351-1370.

Donat, M.G., D. Renggli, S. Wild, L.V. Alexander, G.C. Leckebusch, and U. Ulbrich, 2011: Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trend in European storminess since 1871. Geophys. Res. Let., 38, L14703, doi:10.1029/2011GL047995.

Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J.G. Pinto, T. Spangehl, S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of European winter storm events from a multi-model perspective, at synoptic and regional scales. Climate Research, Vol. 31, 59-74.

Leckebusch, G.C., D. Renggli, and U. Ulbrich, 2008: Development and Application of an Objective Storm Severity Measure for the Northeast Atlantic Region.
Meteorol. Z., Vol. 17, No. 5, 575-587. DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0323. 

Leckebusch, G.C. and U. Ulbrich, 2004: On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm events over Europe under climate change. Global and Planetary Change, 44 (1-4), 181-193.

Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, L. Fröhlich, and J.G. Pinto, 2007: Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate. Geophys. Res. Letters, 34, L05703, doi:10.1029/2006GL027663

Leckebusch, G.C., A. Weimer, J.G. Pinto, M. Reyers, P. Speth, 2008: Extreme wind storms over Europe in present and future climate: a cluster analysis approach.
Meteorol. Z., Vol. 17, No. 1, 67-82. DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0266.

Nissen, K.M., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, and U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 1379-1391.

Renggli, D., G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, S.N. Gleixner, E. Faust, 2010: The skill of seasonal ensemble prediction systems to forecast wintertime windstorm frequency over the North Atlantic and Europe. Monthly Weather Review (in press). 
 
Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, and J. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology, Vol. 96, No. 1-2, 117-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8.

Ulbrich, U., J.G. Pinto, H. Kupfer, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, 2008: Changing Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks in an Ensemble of IPCC Climate Change Simulations. J. Climate, Vol. 21, No. 8, 1669-1679. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1992.1.  

Further Reviewed Publications

Leckebusch, G.C., M. Donat, U. Ulbrich, and J.G. Pinto, 2008: Mid-latitude Cyclones and Storms in an Ensemble of European AOGCMs under ACC. CLIVAR Exchanges, No. 46, Vol. 13 (No.3), 3-5. 

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