Dr Marco Ercolani

The Department of Economics
Senior Lecturer in Econometrics

Contact details

Department of Economics
University House
University of Birmingham
B15 2TT

Marco is an applied econometrician. He works on a range of socio-economic problems with particular focus on using large datasets to look into issues on health, ageing, and education. In addition to using standard econometric procedures, he programs statistical packages to carry out non-standard regressions and tests. He enjoys working with colleagues on challenging topics of social and economic interest.

Personal Homepage


B.A. Economics (University of Sussex)
M.A. Econometrics (University of Essex)
Ph.D. Economics (University of Essex)


Lecturer: Econ106  Quantitative Methods.
Lecturer: Econ333A Labour Economics.
Lecturer: EconG56  Introduction to Time Series Regression

Postgraduate supervision

Labour Econometrics

  • Kay HUANG
  • Cansu UNVER (2nd supervisor)
  • Marios DEMETRIADES (2nd supervisor)

Doctoral research

PhD title
PhD in Economics





Applied econometrics, with experience in handlingcross-section, panel and time-series data. General research interest isin 'bringing data to theories'. Current research interests include:Sickness absence behaviour among UK workers, modelling seasonal andnon-seasonal economic cycles; price changes at the introduction of theEuro; and contransting labour market outcomes for younger and older workers.

Other activities


Carmichael F., Darko C.K. Ercolani M.G., Ozgen C., Siebert S, (2020) “Evidence on intergenerational income transmission using complete Dutch population data”, Economics Letters, Volume 189, online 30/1/2020, doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.108996 (ABS 3, impact factor 0.876)

Barassi M.R., Ercolani M.G., Herrerias M.J. and Jin, Z., (2018) “Climate anomalies and migration between Chinese provinces: 1987-2015”, Energy Journal, Volume 39, online 6/9/2018, doi.org/10.5547/01956574.39.SI1.merc (ABS 3, impact factor 4.968)

Davies P. and Ercolani M. (2018) “Hard and soft choices? Subject selection by schools and students”, Oxford Review of Education, online 3/8/2018, doi.org/10.1080/03054985.2018.1469483 (impact factor 1.393)

Ercolani M., Pouliot W. and Ercolani J.S. (2018) “Luck versus skill over time: time varying performance in the cross-section of mutual fund returns?”, Applied Economics, online 12/2/2018, doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436154 (ABS 2, impact factor 2.63)

Johnson D., Ercolani M. and Mackie P. (2017) “Econometric analysis of the link between public transport accessibility and employment”, Transport Policy, Volume 60, online 15 August 2017, pp.1-9  doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2017.08.001

Carmichael F. and Ercolani M.G. (2016) “Unpaid caregiving and paid work over life-courses: different pathways, diverging outcomes“, (University of Birmingham and Research Network on Informal and Formal Caregiving), Social Science & Medicine. vol. 156, March 2016, pp.1-11, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2016.03.020

Carmichael F. and Ercolani M.G. (2015) “Closing age-training gaps in the European Union: Who and where bucks the trend?”, The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2015.04.002

Ercolani M.G., Vohra R.S., Carmichael F., Mangat K., Alderson D. (2015) “The lifetime cost to English students of borrowing to invest in a medical degree: a gender comparison using data from the Office for National Statistics” British Medical Journal Open doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007335 vol. 5, issue 4, 21 April 2015. Short url: http://goo.gl/FlEC8U

Ercolani M.G. and Ercolani J.S. (2015) “Erratum to ‘Watching the watchmen: A statistical analysis of mark consistency across taught modules’ ”International Review of Economics Education, 18 February 2015, doi: 10.1016/j.iree.2015.02.001. Short url: http://goo.gl/NomkYz 

Albornoz F., Cole M.A., Elliott R.J.R. and Ercolani M.G. (2014). “The Environmental Actions of Firms:  Examining the Role of Spillovers, Networks  and Absorptive Capacity” Journal of Environmental Management.

Ercolani M.G. and Ercolani J.S. (2014) “Watching the watchmen: A statistical analysis of mark consistency across taught modules” International Review of Economics Education, doi: 10.1016/j.iree.2014.05.001.

Johnson D., Ercolani M.G. and Mackie P. (2014) “Buses and the Economy II - Task 3 Report”, University of Leeds, Institute for Transport Studies.

Carmichael F. and Ercolani M.G. (2014) “Age-training gaps in the EU”, Ageing and Society, doi:10.1017/S0144686X12000852, vol. 34, no. 01, pp. 129-156.

Carmichael F. and Ercolani M.G. (2013) “Overlooked and undervalued: the caring contribution of older people”, International Journal of Social Economics, vol.41, no.5, pp. 397-419. doi: 10.1108/IJSE-02-2012-0046.

Johnson D., Ercolani M.G. and Mackie P. (2013) “Buses and the Economy II - Task 2 Report”, University of Leeds, Institute for Transport Studies.

Zheng WEI, Marco G. Ercolani and Rui HAO (2012), “Understanding China’s Dualism Economic Growth over 1965-2009” Chapter 4 in Cai Fang, Yang Tao and Huang Yiping (eds.), Has China Passed through the Lewis Turning Point? Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press of China. (in Chinese)

Ercolani M.G. and Wei Z. (2011) “An Empirical Analysis of China's Dualistic Economic Development: 1965–2009”, Asian Economic Papers, vol.10, no.3, pp.1-29.

Ercolani M.G. (2010) “Transitional inflation changes with the adoption of the euro: aggregate and disaggregate sector evidence”, Journal of Economic Policy Reform. vol.13, no.2 pp. 137-157.

Ercolani, M.G. (2010) “SAVE9: Stata module to save dataset in Stata 9 format,” Statistical Software Components S457269, Boston College Department of Economics.

Carmichael F., Ercolani M.G., Kang L., Maimaiti Y., O’Mahony M, Peng F., Robinson C. (2010) “Education, Training and Productivity” Report for European Commission, Enterprise and Industry.

Albornoz F., Cole M.A., Elliott R.J.R. and Ercolani M.G. (2009). “In Search of Environmental Spillovers”. World Economy. , vol.32, no.1, pp.136-63.

Dutta J. and Ercolani, M.G. (2007) “The impact of the Euro changeover on inflation: Evidence from the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices.”, In The Travails of the Eurozone, edited by David Cobham, University of Edinburgh.

Ercolani M.G. (2007). “Hidden Economies and the Socially Optimal Fiscal-Tax to Liquidity-Tax Ratio” Economics, no.6. www.economics-ejournal.org

Barmby T.A., Ercolani M.G. and Treble J.G. (2004). “Sickness Absence in the UK: 1984-2002.”, Swedish Economic Policy Review. vol. 11, no.1.

Ercolani, M.G. (2004). “Risk Aversion and Risk Loving in the Small: A decomposition of the Multivariate Risk Premium”, Bulletin of Economic Research, vol. 56, no.1.

Barmby T.A., Ercolani, M.G. and Treble J.G. (2002). “Sickness Absence: An International Comparison”, Economic Journal. vol.112, no.480, pp.315-331.

Barmby T.A., Ercolani, M.G. and Treble J.G. (1999). “Sickness absence in Great Britain: new quarterly and annual series from the GHS and LFS, 1971-1997”, Labour Market Trends.

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