L Doos, D Ward, A Stevens, C Packer. Accuracy of pharmaceutical company licensing predictions: projected versus actual licensing dates. Journal of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research. Article first published online: 22 March 2016. doi: 10.1111/jphs.12132
LC Dixon, DJ Ward, J Smith, S Holmes, R Mahadeva. New and emerging technologies for the diagnosis and monitoring of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A horizon scanning review. Chronic Respiratory Disease advance online publication 11 March 2016; doi: 10.1177/1479972316636994
L Doos, C Packer, D Ward, S Simpson, A Stevens. Past speculations of the future: a review of the methods used for forecasting emerging health technologies. BMJ Open; 2016;6:e010479. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010479
DJ Ward, E Hammond, L Linden-Phillips, AJ Stevens. Trends in clinical development timeframes for antiviral drugs launched in the UK, 1981–2014: a retrospective observational study. BMJ Open 2015; 5:e009333. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2015-00933
J Smith, D Ward, M Michaelides, AT Moore, S Simpson. New and emerging technologies for the treatment of inherited retinal diseases: a horizon scanning review. Eye 2015; 29: 1131-40. doi:10.1038/eye.2015.115
Ward DJ, Slade A, Genus T, Martino OI, Stevens AJ. How innovative are new drugs launched in the UK? A retrospective study of new drugs listed in the British National Formulary (BNF) 2001–2012. BMJ Open 2014; 4:e006235. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2014-006235
Derek Ward, Orsolina Martino, Claire Packer, Sue Simpson, Andrew Stevens. Burden of disease, research funding and innovation in the UK: Do new health technologies reflect research inputs and need? Journal of Health Services Research & Policy 2013;18(Suppl. 1):7-13
DJ Ward, OI Martino, S Simpson, AJ Stevens. Decline in new drug launches: myth or reality? Retrospective observational study using 30 years of data from the UK. BMJ Open 2013;3:e002088. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2012-002088
OI Martino, DJ Ward, C Packer, S Simpson, A Stevens. Innovation and burden of disease: retrospective observational study of new and emerging health technologies reported by the EuroScan network from 2000 to 2009. Value in Health 2012; 15: 376-380.
A Tayo, J Ellis, L Linden Phillips, S Simpson, DJ Ward. Emerging point of care tests for influenza: innovation or status quo. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 2011; 2012 6(4): 291–298.