Recent publications
Article
Anderegg, WRL, Wu, C, Acil, N, Carvalhais, N, Pugh, TAM, Sadler, JP & Seidl, R 2022, 'A climate risk analysis of Earth’s forests in the 21st century', Science, vol. 377, no. 6610, pp. 1099–1103. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abp9723
Franke, JA, Müller, C, Minoli, S, Elliott, J, Folberth, C, Gardner, C, Hank, T, Izaurralde, RC, Jägermeyr, J, Jones, CD, Liu, W, Olin, S, Pugh, TAM, Ruane, AC, Stephens, H, Zabel, F & Moyer, EJ 2022, 'Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change', Global Change Biology, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 167-181. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15868
Wayman, JP, Sadler, JP, Pugh, TAM, Martin, TE, Tobias, JA & Matthews, TJ 2022, 'Assessing taxonomic and functional change in British breeding bird assemblages over time', Global Ecology and Biogeography. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13468
Usman, H, Pugh, T, Ahlström, A & Baig, S 2021, 'Climate change projections of terrestrial primary productivity over the Hindu Kush Himalayan forests', Earth System Dynamics, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 857–870. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-857-2021
Müller, C, Franke, J, Jägermeyr, J, Ruane, AC, Elliott, J, Moyer, E, Heinke, J, Falloon, PD, Folberth, C, Francois, L, Hank, T, Izaurralde, RC, Jacquemin, I, Liu, W, Olin, S, Pugh, TAM, Williams, K & Zabel, F 2021, 'Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 16, no. 3, 034040. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc
Wang, X, Müller, C, Elliot, J, Mueller, ND, Ciais, P, Jägermeyr, J, Gerber, J, Dumas, P, Wang, C, Yang, H, Li, L, Deryng, D, Folberth, C, Liu, W, Makowski, D, Olin, S, Pugh, TAM, Reddy, A, Schmid, E, Jeong, S, Zhou, F & Piao, S 2021, 'Global irrigation contribution to wheat and maize yield', Nature Communications, vol. 12, no. 1, 1235. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21498-5
Wayman, JP, Sadler, JP, Pugh, TAM, Martin, TE, Tobias, JA & Matthews, TJ 2021, 'Identifying the drivers of spatial taxonomic and functional beta-diversity of British breeding birds', Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 9, 620062. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.620062
Liu, D, Zhang, C, Ogaya, R, Fernández-Martínez, M, Pugh, T & Peñuelas, J 2021, 'Increasing climatic sensitivity of global grassland vegetation biomass and species diversity correlates with water availability', New Phytologist, vol. 230, no. 5, pp. 1761-1771. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.17269
Zabel, F, Müller, C, Elliott, J, Minoli, S, Jägermeyr, J, Schneider, JM, Franke, JA, Moyer, E, Dury, M, Francois, L, Folberth, C, Liu, W, Pugh, TAM, Olin, S, Rabin, SS, Mauser, W, Hank, T, Ruane, AC & Asseng, S 2021, 'Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties', Global Change Biology, vol. 27, no. 16, pp. 3870-3882. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15649
Dalagnol, R, Wagner, FH, Galvão, LS, Streher, AS, Phillips, OL, Gloor, E, Pugh, TAM, Ometto, JPHB & Aragão, LEOC 2021, 'Large-scale variations in the dynamics of Amazon forest canopy gaps from airborne lidar data and opportunities for tree mortality estimates', Scientific Reports, vol. 11, no. 1, 1388. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80809-w
Wang, C, Wang, X, Jin, Z, Müller, C, Pugh, TAM, Chen, A, Wang, T, Huang, L, Zhang, Y, Li, LXZ & Piao, S 2021, 'Occurrence of crop pests and diseases has largely increased in China since 1970', Nature Food. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00428-0
Ringeval, B, Müller, C, Pugh, TAM, Mueller, ND, Ciais, P, Folberth, C, Liu, W, Debaeke, P & Pellerin, S 2021, 'Potential yield simulated by global gridded crop models: using a process-based emulator to explain their differences', Geoscientific Model Development, vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 1639-1656. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1639-2021
Ruane, AC, Phillips, M, Müller, C, Elliott, J, Jägermeyr, J, Arneth, A, Balkovic, J, Deryng, D, Folberth, C, Iizumi, T, Izaurralde, RC, Khabarov, N, Lawrence, P, Liu, W, Olin, S, Pugh, TAM, Rosenzweig, C, Sakurai, G, Schmid, E, Sultan, B, Wang, X, de Wit, A & Yang, H 2021, 'Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles', Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, vol. 300, 108313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313
Comment/debate
Palahí, M, Valbuena, R, Senf, C, Acil, N, Pugh, TAM, Sadler, J, Seidl, R, Potapov, P, Gardiner, B, Hetemäki, L, Chirici, G, Francini, S, Hlásny, T, Lerink, BJW, Olsson, H, González Olabarria, JR, Ascoli, D, Asikainen, A, Bauhus, J, Berndes, G, Donis, J, Fridman, J, Hanewinkel, M, Jactel, H, Lindner, M, Marchetti, M, Marušák, R, Sheil, D, Tomé, M, Trasobares, A, Verkerk, PJ, Korhonen, M & Nabuurs, GJ 2021, 'Concerns about reported harvests in European forests', Nature, vol. 592, no. 7856, pp. E15-E17. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03292-x
Review article
Hartmann, H, Bastos, A, Das, AJ, Esquivel-muelbert, A, Hammond, WM, Martínez-vilalta, J, Mcdowell, NG, Powers, JS, Pugh, TAM, Ruthrof, KX & Allen, CD 2022, 'Climate change risks to global forest health: emergence of unexpected events of elevated tree mortality worldwide', Annual Review of Plant Biology, vol. 73, no. 1, pp. 673-702. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-arplant-102820-012804
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