Recent publications
Article
Binner, JM, Fleissig, AR & Swofford, JL 2025, 'Are green, climate-change and corporate bonds substitutes or complements? Evidence from a fourier specification', Economics Letters, vol. 251, 112316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112316
Binner, J, Bissoondeeal, RK, Jones, BE & Valcarcel, V 2025, 'Identifying monetary policy shocks with Divisia money in the United Kingdom', Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol. 29, e86. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100524000749
Binner, J, Kelly, L & Tepper, J 2025, 'Professional Forecasters vs. Shallow Neural Network Ensembles: Assessing Inflation Prediction Accuracy', Journal of Risk and Financial Management, vol. 18, no. 4, 173. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18040173
Fry, J & Binner, JM 2025, 'Quantifying speculative-bubble effects in major European soccer leagues', Economics Letters, vol. 248, 112208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112208
Fry, J, Hastings, T & Binner, J 2024, 'An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election', Journal of the Operational Research Society. https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2024.2334339
Kelly, L, Binner, J & Tepper, JA 2024, 'Do Monetary Aggregates Improve Inflation Forecasting in Switzerland?', Journal of Management Policy and Practice, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 124-133. https://doi.org/10.33423/jmpp.v25i1.6922
Bissoondeeal, RK, Binner, J & Milas, C 2023, 'Brexit and Coronavirus: Financial Perspectives and Future Prospects', European Journal of Finance, vol. 29, no. 16, pp. 1825-1834. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2023.2249961
Binner, J, Bissoondeeal, R & Karaglou, M 2023, 'The Impact of Uncertainty on Money Demand in the UK, US and Euro area', European Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2023.2204194
Binner, J, Chaudhry, S & Swofford, JL 2023, 'UK or the Eurozone: Which Common Currency Area Can Work for Northern Ireland After Brexit?', European Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2023.2216240
Molinas, L, Binner, J & Tong, M 2022, 'Do Divisia monetary aggregates help forecast exchange rates in a negative interest rate environment?', European Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2022.2124120
Moreira Barreto de Oliveira, A, Binner, J, Mandal, A, Kelly, L & J. Power, G 2021, 'Using GAM functions and Markov-Switching models in an evaluation framework to assess countries’ performance in controlling the COVID-19 pandemic', BMC Public Health, vol. 21, no. 1, 2173 , pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11891-6
Chapter
Kelly, L, Tepper, J, Binner, J, Dixon, H & Jones, BE 2025, Box A: An Alternative UK Economic Forecast. in National Institute Economic Outlook Winter 2025. National Institute UK economic outlook. Series A, no. 17, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, pp. 11-16. <https://niesr.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/NIESR-UK-Economic-Outlook-Winter-2025.pdf>
Binner, J, Dixon, H, Tepper, J & Jones, B 2024, A Neural Network Approach to Forecasting Inflation. in National Institute UK Economic Outlook: Spring 2024: A Pre-Election Gloom. National Institute UK Economic Outlook, no. 14, vol. Series A, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, London, pp. 8-32. <https://www.niesr.ac.uk/publications/neural-network-approach-forecasting-inflation?type=uk-economic-outlook-box-analysis>
Other contribution
Dixon, H, Binner, J, Jones, B & Tepper, J 2025, Inflation to Remain Close to 4% Well Into 2026. National Institute of Economic and Social Research. <https://niesr.ac.uk/blog/inflation-remain-close-4-well-2026>
Paper
Binner, J, Molinas, L & Tong, M 2022, 'Do Divisia monetary aggregates help forecast exchange rates in a negative interest rate environment?'.
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