Recent publications
Article
Rousseau, D-D, Chauvel, C, Hopcroft, PO, Gutiérrez, P, Saulnier-Copard, S, Antoine, P, Fuchs, M & Ustrzycka, A 2025, 'A remote input of African dust to Last Glacial Europe', Communications Earth & Environment, vol. 6, 847. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02888-9
Lu, Z, Schultze, A, Carre, M, Brierley, C, Hopcroft, P, Zhao, D, Zheng, M, Braconnot, P, Yin, Q, Jungclaus, J, Shi, X, Yang, H & Zhang, Q 2025, 'Enhanced frequency of multi-year El Niño-Southern Oscillation across the Holocene', Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01670-y
Zhang, Z, Poulter, B, Melton, JR, Riley, WJ, Allen, G, Beerling, DJ, Canadell, JG, Flouet-Chouinard, E, Ciais, P, Gedney, N, Hopcroft, P, Ito, A, Jackson, R & GCP CH4 modellers 2025, 'Ensemble estimates of global wetland methane emissions over 2000-2020', Biogeosciences. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1584, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-305-2025
Saunois, M & Hopcroft, P 2025, 'Global Methane Budget 2000-2020', Earth System Science Data, vol. 17, no. 5, pp. 1873–1958. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-115, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-1873-2025
Tiwari, S, Pausata, FSR, Legrande, AN, Griffiths, M, Wainer, I, Beltrami, H, de Vernal, A, Hopcroft, PO, Tabor, C, Chandan, D & Peltier, WR 2025, 'Mid-Holocene El Niño Southern Oscillation variability reduced by northern African vegetation changes in climate models', Communications Earth & Environment, vol. 6, 675. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02639-w
Dutta, D, Hopcroft, P, Andreasen, LS, Aubry, T, Timmreck, C, Zanchettin, D, Zhang, X & Muschitiello, F 2025, 'State-Dependent North Atlantic Response to Volcanic Eruption Clusters', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 52, no. 15, e2025GL117582. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117582
Verkerk, M, Aubry, T, Smith, C, Hopcroft, P, Sigl, M, Tierney, JE, Anchukaitis, K, Osman, M, Schmidt, A & Toohey, M 2025, 'Using reduced-complexity volcanic aerosol and climate models to produce large ensemble simulations of Holocene temperature', Climate of the Past, vol. 21, pp. 1755–1778. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1755-2025
Trauth, M, Asrat, A, Fischer, ML, Hopcroft, P, Foerster, V, Kaboth-Bahr, S, Kindermann, K, Lamb, HF, Marwan, N, Maslin, MA & Schaebitz, F 2024, 'Early warning signals of the termination of the African Humid Period(s)', Nature Communications, vol. 15, pp. 3697. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47921-1
Krause, C, Kimbrough, A, Gagan, MK, Hopcroft, P, Dunbar, G, Hantoro, W, Hellstrom, J, Cheng, H, Edwards, RL, Wong, H, Suwargadi, B, Valdes, PJ & Rifai, H 2024, 'Tropical vegetation productivity and atmospheric methane over the last 40,000 years from model simulations and stalagmites in Sulawesi, Indonesia', Quaternary Research. https://doi.org/10.1017/qua.2023.75
Hopcroft, P & Gallagher, K 2023, 'Global variability in multi-century ground warming inferred from geothermal data', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 50, no. 13, e2023GL104631. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104631
Armstrong, E, Tallavaara, M, Hopcroft, P & Valdes, PJ 2023, 'North African Humid Periods over the past 800000 years', Nature Communications, vol. 14, no. 1, 5549. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-41219-4
Hopcroft, P, Valdes, PJ, Shuman, B, Toohey, M & Sigl, M 2023, 'Relative importance of forcings and feedbacks in the Holocene temperature conundrum', Quaternary Science Reviews, vol. 319, 108322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108322
Letter
Zhu, Q, Yuan, K, Li, F, Riley, WJ, Hoyt, A, Jackson, R, Mcnicol, G, Chen, M, Knox, SH, Briner, O, Beerling, D, Gedney, N, Hopcroft, PO, Ito, A, Jain, AK, Jensen, K, Kleinen, T, Li, T, Liu, X, McDonald, KC, Melton, JR, Miller, PA, Müller, J, Peng, C, Poulter, B, Qin, Z, Peng, S, Tian, H, Xu, X, Yao, Y, Xi, Y, Zhang, Z, Zhang, W, Zhu, Q & Zhuang, Q 2024, 'Critical needs to close monitoring gaps in pan-tropical wetland CH4 emissions', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 19, no. 11, 114046. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad8019
Ito, A, Li, T, Melton, J, Tian, H, Kleinen, T, Wang, W, Zhang, Z, Joos, F, Ciais, P, Hopcroft, PO, Beerling, DJ, Liu, X, Zhuang, Q, Zhu, Q, Peng, C, Cheng, K-Y, Fluet-Chouinard, E, McNicol, G, Patra, P, Poulter, B, Sitch, S, Riley, W & Zhu, Q 2023, 'Cold-season methane fluxes simulated by GCP-CH4 models', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 50, no. 14, e2023GL103037. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103037
Jiang, Z, Brierley, CM, Bader, J, Braconnot, P, Erb, M, Hopcroft, PO, Jiang, D, Jungclaus, J, Khon, V, Lohmann, G, Marti, O, Osman, MB, Otto-Bliesner, B, Schneider, B, Shi, X, Thornalley, DJR, Tian, Z & Zhang, Q 2023, 'No consistent simulated trends in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation for the past 6,000 years', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 50, no. 10, e2023GL103078. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103078
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