Dr Rowland Seymour

Dr Rowland Seymour

School of Mathematics
Assistant Professor in Mathematics

Contact details

School of Mathematics
Watson Building
University of Birmingham
B15 2TT

Rowland Seymour in an Assistant Professor in Mathematics. His research interests are in computational statistics and Bayesian nonparametrics. Rowland has developed models for a wide range of applications including human rights abuses and outbreaks of infectious diseases.

Rowland is a member of the Mathematical Biology and Healthcare Group, the Applied and Computational Statistics Group, the Institute of Interdisciplinary Data Science and AI, and the Institute for Global Innovation. Rowland has received funding for his research from ESPRC, the Nuffield Foundation and the International Justice Mission.


  • PhD in Mathematics, University of Nottingham, 2020
  • MSc in Applied Mathematics, Heriot Watt, 2016
  • BSc (Hons) in Mathematics with German, University of Southampton, 2015


Rowland’s PhD was in Bayesian nonparametric for stochastic epidemic models. Following the completion of his PhD, Rowland was awarded an EPSRC Doctoral Prize to work on comparative judgement models.

He was then appointed a Senior Research Fellow at the University of Nottingham’s Rights Lab, where he led the Prevalence and Computation group.

Rowland developed research projects tackling human rights abuses across the world, including human trafficking in Romania and online child sexual exploitation in the Philippines.


Semester 2

LM Bayesian Inference and Computation

Postgraduate supervision

Rowland is happy to take enquiries from motivated students interested in a PhD in computational statistics.


Research themes

  • Bayesian computation
  • Inference for comparative judgement data
  • Modelling human rights abuses
  • Inference for epidemic models


Recent publications


Seymour, R, Kypraios, T & O'Neill, P 2022, 'Bayesian nonparametric inference for heterogeneously mixing infectious disease models', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol. 119, no. 10, e2118425119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2118425119

Seymour, RG, Sirl, D, Preston, SP, Dryden, IL, Ellis, MJA, Perrat, B & Goulding, J 2022, 'The Bayesian Spatial Bradley–Terry model: urban deprivation modelling in Tanzania', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 71, no. 2, pp. 288-308. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12532

Seymour, RG, Kypraios, T, O’Neill, PD & Hagenaars, TJ 2021, 'A Bayesian nonparametric analysis of the 2003 outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza in the Netherlands', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 70, no. 5, pp. 1323-1343. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12515

Conference contribution

Seymour, R, Sirl, D, Preston, S & Goulding, J 2023, Multi-Level Spatial Comparative Judgement Models To Map Deprivation. in Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings 2023. Zenodo, Joint Statistical Meetings 2023, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, 5/08/23. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8314257

Other contribution

Ghumra, A (ed.), Acil, N, Barker, J, Baziotis, C, Beltran Hernandez, A, Dai, D, Deakin, J, Dettmer, S, Fentham, D, Fontrodona-Bach, A, Hart-Villamil, R, Jenkins, B, Jia, X, Jones, AM, Morris, A, Murakami, A, Seymour, R, Da Silva Xavier, G, Smith, C, Tashev, S, Turner, J, Uche, EO, Xia, X & Zhong, J 2023, Birmingham Environment for Academic Research: Case studies volume 3. University of Birmingham. https://doi.org/10.25500/epapers.bham.00004303

Review article

Seymour, R & Silverman, B 2023, 'How Can We Estimate Modern Slavery Globally?', Chance, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 22-29. https://doi.org/10.1080/09332480.2023.2290950

View all publications in research portal