Professor Tom Marshall MB ChB, MSc, PhD, MRCGP, FFPH

Professor Tom Marshall

Department of Applied Health Sciences
Professor of Public Health and Primary Care

Contact details

Telephone
+44 (0)121 414 7832
Fax
+44 (0)121 414 7878
Email
t.p.marshall@bham.ac.uk
Twitter
@TomPMarshall
View my research portal
Address
Department of Applied Health Sciences
College of Medicine and Health
University of Birmingham
Edgbaston
Birmingham
B15 2TT

Tom Marshall is a Professor of Public Health and Primary Care. His main medical speciality is in Public Health Medicine but he also has trained in General Practice and has studied Health Economics.

Tom has over 70 peer reviewed publications to date, over 35 as first author and a significant number as sole author. His research publications cover a number of related areas.

- Cardiovascular disease prevention and in particular organising primary care services to improve the efficiency of cardiovascular disease prevention in primary care.

- Patient preferences in relation to taking medication to prevent cardiovascular diseases.

- The analysis of electronic primary care records to understand primary health care, prescribing and epidemiology.

- The use of statistical process control for quality improvement in health care.

- Factors influencing General Practitioner decision making in relation to cardiovascular prevention

- The use of electronic primary care records to assist earlier identification of chronic diseases including: bowel cancer, patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease; left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

Tom has contributed to local, national and international media in relation to his research, particularly in relation to prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Qualifications

  • Professor of Public Health and Primary Care
  • Fellow of the Faculty of Public Health (UK), 2005
  • PhD in Public Health: An economic evaluation of cardiovascular disease prevention in primary care, University of Birmingham, 2005.
  • Member of the Faculty of Public Health Medicine (UK), 1997.
  • MSc. Public Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 1995
  • Member of the Royal College of General Practitioners 1994.
  • MSc. Health Economics (distinction), University of York, 1992.
  • MB ChB University of Edinburgh, 1987. 

Teaching

  • Public Health MPH/PG Diploma/PG Certificate
  • Clinical Primary and Community Care MSc/PG Diploma/PG Certificate
  • Medicine and Surgery MBChB
  • Biomedical Science BSc

Postgraduate supervision

A number of areas including: - cardiovascular epidemiology and the management of cardiovascular disease in UK primary care - economic modelling of cardiovascular prevention in primary care - early diagnosis using data in electronic primary care records - investigation of clinical decision-making in primary care - overtreatment in primary care - data and computer science use of electronic primary care records

Research

My research is mainly in primary care. I have particular interests in the design of efficient strategies for prevention of cardiovascular disease in primary care. I also am interested in early diagnosis of cancer using information held in electronic patient records. Other interests include clinical decision making in primary care, cardiovascular epidemiology, managment of cardiovascular diseases and overtreatment. Much of my research makes use of the use of electronic primary care records and I hold a licence to undertake research using the THIN database. I am also interested in making links with data and computer scientists to exploit electronic pratient records for research.

 

Other activities

  • Former member of the editorial board of the Health Technology Assessment journal.
  • Currently a reviewer for many grant awarding bodies and academic journals.
  • Former member of the NIHR Research for Patient Benefit grant awarding committee.
  • Currently a member of the NIHR Programme Grants for Applied Research grant awarding committee

Publications

Recent publications

Article

Finnikin, S, Willis, B, Evans, T, Finney, B, Hui, KNC, Khatib, R & Marshall, T 2026, 'Cardiovascular Risk Estimation and Statin Adherence: A Historical Cohort Study', Medical Decision Making. https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989X261455267

Adams, R, Jordan, RE, Maher, A, Adab, P, Barrett, T, Bevan, S, Cooper, L, DuRand, I, Edwards, F, Hardy, P, Harris, C, Heneghan, N, Ives, N, Jolly, K, Jowett, S, Marshall, T, O'Hara, M, Poyner, C, Rai, KK, Rickards, H, Sadhra, S, Tearne, S, Walters, G & Sapey, E 2026, 'Enhancing the Health of NHS Staff: eTHOS—a randomised controlled pilot trial of an employee health screening clinic for NHS staff compared with usual care to reduce absenteeism and presenteeism', Pilot and Feasibility Studies. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40814-026-01794-x

Flanagan, S, Spurway, C, Jackson, L, Cooper, J, Crowe, FL, Haroon, S, Marshall, T, Fitzsimmons, L, Hathaway, E, Nirantharakumar, K, Jackson, T & Greenfield, S 2026, 'Exploring Patient Perspectives on the Use of Artificial Intelligence to Inform Joint Decision-Making for Patients With Multiple Conditions in Primary Care in the United Kingdom: Qualitative Study', Journal of Medical Internet Research, vol. 28, e87507. https://doi.org/10.2196/87507

King-Hill, S, Marshall, T, Jameel, S, Woodhams, J, Chandan, J, Flowe, H, Schaub, J & Ibrahim, D 2026, 'Integrating Primary Prevention into Sexual Violence Education for Medical Students: An Evaluation of Reported Preparedness', Journal of Sexual Aggression. https://doi.org/10.1080/13552600.2026.2690221

Pretorius, S, Bartle, V, Bellass, S, Blackburn, E-R, Bold, H, Cooper, R, Cordell, H, Evison, F, Holding, R, Howe, N, Lam, E, Marshall, T, Matthews, F, Missier, P, Pearson, ER, Plummer, C, Richards, G, Robinson, SM, Sapey, E, Scharf, T, Singer, M, Suklan, J, Walker, P, Wason, J, Sayer, AA & Witham, MD 2026, 'Making clinical guidelines work for people with multiple long term conditions: analysis and recommendations from review of single condition guidelines', BMJ Medicine, vol. 5, no. 1, e001495. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjmed-2025-001495

Guan, N, Rockey, J, Marshall, T, Hathaway, E, Roberts, T, Crowe, F, Jackson, LJ & Haroon, S 2026, 'Sickness absence in the working age population: a retrospective cohort study using primary care health record data', BMC Public Health, vol. 26, no. 1, 829. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-026-26296-6

Gough, A, Sitch, A & Marshall, T 2026, 'Within-individual variation of depression symptom measurement instruments in primary care: a retrospective cohort study', Journal of Affective Disorders, vol. 401, 121246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2026.121246

Gough, A, Marshall, T, Turner, AM & Sitch, A 2026, 'Within-individual variation of spirometry measurements in primary care: a retrospective cohort study', BMJ Open Respiratory Research, vol. 13, no. 1, e003853. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjresp-2025-003853

Finnikin, S, Willis, B, Khatib, R, Evans, T & Marshall, T 2025, 'Cardiovascular risk estimation and statin adherence: an historical cohort study protocol', BJGP Open, vol. 9, no. 2, BJGPO.2024.0258. https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGPO.2024.0258

Adamu, I, Lambert, A, Bello, S, Abdulmalik, FA & Marshall, T 2025, 'Effects of antibiotic prescribing for respiratory tract infection on future consultations in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis', BMJ Open, vol. 15, no. 7, e099357. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2025-099357

Chen, J, Kasteridis, P, Anteneh, Z, Greenfield, S, Scheibl, F, Sterniczuk, K, Willis, BH, Williams, I & Marshall, T 2025, 'Less continuity with more complaints: A cross-sectional observational study of the association between relational continuity of care and patient complaints in English general practice', BMJ Quality & Safety. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjqs-2025-018989

d’Elia, A, Morris, SG, Cooper, J, Nirantharakumar, K, Jackson, T, Marshall, T, Fitzsimmons, L, Jackson, LJ, Crowe, F, Haroon, S, Greenfield, S & Hathaway, E 2025, 'Perceptions of an AI-based clinical decision support tool for prescribing in multiple long-term conditions: a qualitative study of general practice clinicians in England', BMJ Open, vol. 15, no. 11, e102833. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2025-102833

Cooper, J, Haroon, S, Crowe, F, Nirantharakumar, K, Jackson, T, Fitzsimmons, L, Hathaway, E, Flanagan, S, Marshall, T, Jackson, LJ, Gunathilaka, N, D'Elia, A, Morris, SG & Greenfield, S 2025, 'Perspectives of Health Care Professionals on the Use of AI to Support Clinical Decision-Making in the Management of Multiple Long-Term Conditions: Interview Study', Journal of Medical Internet Research, vol. 27, e71980. https://doi.org/10.2196/71980

Conference contribution

Rao, J, Crowe, FL, Marshall, T, Richardson, S & Kirk, PDW 2026, Federated Variational Inference for Bayesian Mixture Models. in P Argaw, H Zhang, S Jabbour, P Chandak, J Ji, S Mukherjee, O Salaudeen, T Chang, E Healey, F Gröger, A Adibi, S Hegselmann, B Wild & A Noori (eds), Machine Learning for Health Symposium (ML4H), 1-2 December 2025, The Westin San Diego Gaslamp Quarter, San Diego, CA, USA. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, vol. 297, PMLR, pp. 826-863, Machine Learning for Health 2025, San Diego, California, United States, 1/12/25. <https://proceedings.mlr.press/v297/rao26a.html>

Review article

Chen, Y-T, Kausar, S, Lindenmeyer, A & Marshall, T 2026, 'Risk factors for suicidal behaviour in people with dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis', Journal of Affective Disorders, vol. 411, 122050. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2026.122050

View all publications in research portal

Expertise

Prevention of heart disease