Professor Tom Marshall MB ChB, MSc, PhD, MRGP, FFPH

Professor Tom Marshall

Department of Applied Health Sciences
Professor of Public Health and Primary Care

Contact details

Telephone
+44 (0)121 414 7832
Fax
+44 (0)121 414 7878
Email
t.p.marshall@bham.ac.uk
Twitter
@TomPMarshall
View my research portal
Address
Department of Applied Health Sciences
College of Medicine and Health
University of Birmingham
Edgbaston
Birmingham
B15 2TT

Tom Marshall is a Professor of Public Health and Primary Care. His main medical speciality is in Public Health Medicine but he also has trained in General Practice and has studied Health Economics.

Tom has over 70 peer reviewed publications to date, over 35 as first author and a significant number as sole author. His research publications cover a number of related areas.

- Cardiovascular disease prevention and in particular organising primary care services to improve the efficiency of cardiovascular disease prevention in primary care.

- Patient preferences in relation to taking medication to prevent cardiovascular diseases.

- The analysis of electronic primary care records to understand primary health care, prescribing and epidemiology.

- The use of statistical process control for quality improvement in health care.

- Factors influencing General Practitioner decision making in relation to cardiovascular prevention

- The use of electronic primary care records to assist earlier identification of chronic diseases including: bowel cancer, patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease; left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

Tom has contributed to local, national and international media in relation to his research, particularly in relation to prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Qualifications

  • Professor of Public Health and Primary Care
  • Fellow of the Faculty of Public Health (UK), 2005
  • PhD in Public Health: An economic evaluation of cardiovascular disease prevention in primary care, University of Birmingham, 2005.
  • Member of the Faculty of Public Health Medicine (UK), 1997.
  • MSc. Public Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 1995
  • Member of the Royal College of General Practitioners 1994.
  • MSc. Health Economics (distinction), University of York, 1992.
  • MB ChB University of Edinburgh, 1987. 

Teaching

  • Public Health MPH/PG Diploma/PG Certificate
  • Clinical Primary and Community Care MSc/PG Diploma/PG Certificate
  • Medicine and Surgery MBChB
  • Biomedical Science BSc

Postgraduate supervision

A number of areas including: - cardiovascular epidemiology and the management of cardiovascular disease in UK primary care - economic modelling of cardiovascular prevention in primary care - early diagnosis using data in electronic primary care records - investigation of clinical decision-making in primary care - overtreatment in primary care - data and computer science use of electronic primary care records

Research

My research is mainly in primary care. I have particular interests in the design of efficient strategies for prevention of cardiovascular disease in primary care. I also am interested in early diagnosis of cancer using information held in electronic patient records. Other interests include clinical decision making in primary care, cardiovascular epidemiology, managment of cardiovascular diseases and overtreatment. Much of my research makes use of the use of electronic primary care records and I hold a licence to undertake research using the THIN database. I am also interested in making links with data and computer scientists to exploit electronic pratient records for research.

 

Other activities

  • Former member of the editorial board of the Health Technology Assessment journal.
  • Currently a reviewer for many grant awarding bodies and academic journals.
  • Former member of the NIHR Research for Patient Benefit grant awarding committee.
  • Currently a member of the NIHR Programme Grants for Applied Research grant awarding committee

Publications

Recent publications

Article

Adamu, I, Lambert, A, Bello, S, Abdulmalik, FA & Marshall, T 2025, 'Effects of antibiotic prescribing for respiratory tract infection on future consultations in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis', BMJ open, vol. 15, no. 7, e099357. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2025-099357

Chen, J, Kasteridis, P, Anteneh, Z, Greenfield, S, Scheibl, F, Sterniczuk, K, Willis, BH, Williams, I & Marshall, T 2025, 'Less continuity with more complaints: A cross-sectional observational study of the association between relational continuity of care and patient complaints in English general practice', BMJ Quality & Safety. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjqs-2025-018989

Cooper, J, Haroon, S, Crowe, F, Nirantharakumar, K, Jackson, T, Fitzsimmons, L, Hathaway, E, Flanagan, S, Marshall, T, Jackson, L, Gunathilaka, N, D'Elia, A, Morris, SG & Greenfield, S 2025, 'Perspectives of healthcare professionals on the use of artificial intelligence to support clinical decision-making in the management of multiple long-term conditions: interview study', Journal of Medical Internet Research, vol. 27, e71980. https://doi.org/10.2196/71980

Marshall, T, Scheibl, F, Williams, I, Nirantharakumar, K, Willis, BH, Kasteridis, P, Sterniczuk, K, Chen, J, Anteneh, ZF & Greenfield, S 2025, 'Quantifying, Understanding and Enhancing Relational Continuity of Care (QUERCC): a mixed-methods protocol', BMJ open, vol. 15, no. 4, e088573. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-088573

Gough, A, Marshall, T & Sitch, A 2025, 'Within-individual variation of HbA1c measurements in primary care: A retrospective cohort study', PLOS One, vol. 20, no. 10, e0333438. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333438

Chen, S, Alvares, D, Jackson, C, Marshall, T, Nirantharakumar, K, Richardson, S, Saunders, CL & Barrett, JK 2024, 'Bayesian blockwise inference for joint models of longitudinal and multistate data with application to longitudinal multimorbidity analysis', Statistical Methods in Medical Research, vol. 33, no. 11-12, pp. 2027-2042. https://doi.org/10.1177/09622802241281959

Finnikin, S, Willis, BH, Khatib, R, Evans, T & Marshall, T 2024, 'Cardiovascular risk estimation and statin adherence: an historical cohort study protocol', BJGP Open. https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGPO.2024.0258

Adams, R, Jordan, R, Maher, A, Adab, P, Barrett, T, Bevan, S, Cooper, L, DuRand, I, Edwards, F, Hardy, P, Harris, C, Heneghan, NR, Jolly, K, Jowett, S, Marshall, T, O'Hara, M, Poyner, C, Rai, K, Rickards, H, Riley, R, Ives, N, Sadhra, S, Tearne, S, Walters, G & Sapey, E 2024, 'Health screening clinic to reduce absenteeism and presenteeism among NHS Staff: eTHOS a pilot RCT', Health and Social Care Delivery Research, vol. 12, no. 23, pp. 1-105. https://doi.org/10.3310/KDST3869

Gunathilaka, N, Gooden, T, Cooper, J, Flanagan, S, Marshall, T, Haroon, S, D'Elia, A, Crowe, F, Jackson, T, Nirantharakumar, K & Greenfield, S 2024, 'Perceptions on artificial intelligence-based decision making for coexisting multiple long-term health conditions: A protocol for a qualitative study with patients and healthcare professionals', BMJ open, vol. 14, e077156. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-077156

de Dumast, L, Moore, P, Snell, KIE & Marshall, T 2024, 'Trends in clinical workload in UK primary care 2005-2019: a retrospective cohort study', British Journal of General Practice , vol. 74, no. 747, pp. e659-e665. https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGP.2023.0527

Gough, A, Sitch, A, Ferris, E & Marshall, T 2024, 'Within-subject variation of C-reactive protein and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein: A systematic review and meta-analysis', PLOS One, vol. 19, no. 11, e0304961. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0304961

Cooper, J, Nirantharakumar, K, Crowe, F, Azcoaga-Lorenzo, A, McCowan, C, Jackson, T, Acharya, A, Gokhale, K, Gunathilaka, N, Marshall, T & Haroon, S 2023, 'Prevalence and demographic variation of cardiovascular, renal, metabolic, and mental health conditions in 12 million english primary care records', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, vol. 23, no. 1, 220. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-023-02296-z

Conference contribution

Rao, J, Crowe, F, Marshall, T, Richardson, S & Kirk, PDW 2025, Federated Variational Inference for Bayesian Mixture Models. in Proceedings or ML4H 2025. Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, PMLR, Machine Learning for Health 2025, San Diego, California, United States, 1/12/25.

Review article

Aiyegbusi, OL, McMullan, C, Hughes, SE, Turner, GM, Subramanian, A, Hotham, R, Davies, EH, Frost, C, Alder, Y, Agyen, L, Buckland, L, Camaradou, J, Chong, A, Jeyes, F, Kumar, S, Matthews, KL, Moore, P, Ormerod, J, Price, G, Saint-Cricq, M, Stanton, D, Walker, A, Haroon, S, Denniston, AK, Calvert, MJ, Brown, K, Singh Chandan, J, Gkoutos, GV, Jackson, LJ, Lord, JM, Marshall, T, Marwaha, S, Myles, P, Nirantharakumar, K, Rivera, SC, Sapey, E, Simms-Williams, N, Williams, T & Wraith, DC 2023, 'Considerations for patient and public involvement and engagement in health research', Nature Medicine, vol. 29, no. 8, pp. 1922-1929. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02445-x

Chandan, J, Brown, K, Simms-Williams, N, Bashir, NZ, Camaradou, J, Heining, D, Turner, G, Cruz Rivera, S, Hotham, R, Minhas, S, Nirantharakumar, K, Sivan, M, Khunti, K, Raindi, D, Marwaha, S, Hughes, S, McMullan, C, Marshall, T, Calvert, M, Haroon, S & Aiyegbusi, OL 2023, 'Non-pharmacological therapies for post-viral syndromes, including Long COVID: a systematic review', International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, vol. 20, no. 4, 3477. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20043477

View all publications in research portal

Expertise

Prevention of heart disease