Recent publications
Article
MuM-PreDiCT Group 2024, 'Association between pregnancy-related complications and development of type 2 diabetes and hypertension in women: an umbrella review', BMC medicine, vol. 22, no. 1, 66. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-024-03284-4
Archer, L, Hattle, M, Riley, RD & The eFI+ investigators 2024, 'Development and external validation of the eFalls tool: a multivariable prediction model for the risk of ED attendance or hospitalisation with a fall or fracture in older adults', Age and Ageing, vol. 53, no. 3, afae057. https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afae057
Collins, GS, Dhiman, P, Ma, J, Schlussel, MM, Archer, L, Van Calster, B, Jr, FEH, Martin, GP, Moons, KGM, van Smeden, M, Sperrin, M, Bullock, GS & Riley, RD 2024, 'Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation', BMJ, vol. 384, e074819. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-074819
Riley, RD, Archer, L, Snell, KIE, Ensor, J, Dhiman, P, Martin, GP, Bonnett, LJ & Collins, GS 2024, 'Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 2): how to undertake an external validation study', BMJ (Clinical research ed.), vol. 384, e074820. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-074820
Riley, RD, Snell, KIE, Archer, L, Ensor, J, Debray, TPA, Van Calster, B, Van Smeden, M & Collins, GS 2024, 'Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 3): calculating the sample size required for an external validation study', BMJ, vol. 384, e074821. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-074821
Monitoring Inflammatory Conditions Investigators, Leaviss, J, Carroll, C, Essat, M, van der Windt, D, Grainge, MJ, Card, T, Riley, R & Abhishek, A 2024, 'Prognostic factors for liver, blood and kidney adverse events from glucocorticoid sparing immune-suppressing drugs in immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: a prognostic systematic review', RMD Open, vol. 10, no. 1, e003588. https://doi.org/10.1136/rmdopen-2023-003588
Abhishek, A, Grainge, M, Card, T, Williams, HC, Taal, MW, Aithal, GP, Fox, CP, Mallen, CD, Stevenson, MD, Nakafero, G & Riley, R 2024, 'Risk-stratified monitoring for sulfasalazine toxicity: prognostic model development and validation', RMD Open, vol. 10, no. 1, e003980. https://doi.org/10.1136/rmdopen-2023-003980
Andaur Navarro, CL, Damen, JAA, Ghannad, M, Dhiman, P, van Smeden, M, Reitsma, JB, Collins, GS, Riley, RD, Moons, KGM & Hooft, L 2024, 'SPIN-PM: A consensus framework to evaluate the presence of spin in studies on prediction models', Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2024.111364
Riley, RD, Collins, GS, Hattle, M, Whittle, R & Ensor, J 2023, 'Calculating the power of a planned individual participant data meta‐analysis of randomised trials to examine a treatment‐covariate interaction with a time‐to‐event outcome', Research Synthesis Methods. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1650
Hughes, T, Riley, R, Callaghan, MJ & Sergeant, JC 2023, 'Can prognostic factors for indirect muscle injuries in elite football (soccer) players be identified using data from preseason screening? An exploratory analysis using routinely collected periodic health examination records', BMJ open, vol. 13, no. 1, e052772. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052772
Riley, RD, Pate, A, Dhiman, P, Archer, L, Martin, GP & Collins, GS 2023, 'Clinical prediction models and the multiverse of madness', BMC medicine, vol. 21, no. 1, 502. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-023-03212-y
Pate, A, Sperrin, M, Riley, RD, Sergeant, JC, Van Staa, T, Peek, N, Mamas, MA, Lip, GYH, O'Flaherty, M, Buchan, I & Martin, GP 2023, 'Developing prediction models to estimate the risk of two survival outcomes both occurring: A comparison of techniques', Statistics in Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.9771
Riley, RD 2023, 'Effect of a doctor working during the festive period on population health: natural experiment using 60 years of Doctor Who episodes (the TARDIS study)', BMJ (Clinical research ed.), vol. 383, e077143. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-077143
Lee, S, Hope, HF, O'Reilly, D, Kent, L, SANTORELLI, G, Subramanian, A, Moss, N, Azcoaga-Lorenzo, A, FAGBAMIGBE, AF, Nelson-Piercy, C, Yau, C, McCowan, C, Kennedy, JI, Phillips, K, Singh, M, Mhereeg, M, Cockburn, N, Brocklehurst, P, Plachcinski, R, Riley, R, Thangaratinam, S, Brophy, S, Sudasinghe, B, Agrawal, U, VOWLES, Z, Abel, KM, Nirantharakumar, K, Black, M & Eastwood, KA 2023, 'Maternal and child outcomes for pregnant women with pre-existing multiple long-term conditions: protocol for an observational study in the United Kingdom', BMJ open, vol. 13, e068718. https://doi.org/0.1136/bmjopen-2022-068718
Review article
Levis, B, Snell, KIE, Damen, JAA, Hattle, M, Ensor, J, Dhiman, P, Andaur Navarro, CL, Takwoingi, Y, Whiting, PF, Debray, TPA, Reitsma, JB, Moons, KGM, Collins, GS & Riley, RD 2024, 'Risk of bias assessments in individual participant data meta-analyses of test accuracy and prediction models: a review shows improvements are needed', Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, vol. 165, 111206. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.10.022
View all publications in research portal