Dr Kelvin Ng PhD

Kelvin Ng

School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences
Postdoctoral Research Fellow

Contact details

School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences
University of Birmingham
B15 2TT

Dr Kelvin Ng is an atmospheric scientist who focuses on meteorological and climatological extremes.


  • MSci in Physics with Theoretical Physics (Imperial College London)
  • PhD in Atmospheric Sciences (The University of Hong Kong)


Dr Kelvin Ng studied Physics with Theoretical Physics at Imperial College London before moving to the University of Hong Kong for his PhD in Atmospheric Sciences, looking at the potential governing factors of tropical cyclone intensity. In 2018, he joined the Unversity of Birmingham as a research fellow. In 2023, he joined the Fresh Eyes on CMIP, a task team of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.


Kelvin works as a research fellow on different projects about the hazards and impacts of meteorological and climatological extremes.

  • INPAIS (NERC funded:2018-2021), which was a collaborative research project with Swiss Re Company Ltd, Beijing branch (industry) and Beijing Normal University to improve parametric insurance thresholds of Typhoons.
  • PRE-CAX (Newton Fund, CSSP-China: 2020-2022) and PRE-CAX2 (Newton Fund, CSSP-China: 2022-2023), which are collaborative research projects with University of Reading to develop a tool to improve the prediction of future meteorological and climatological extremes in China based on statistical and machine learning.
  • Ex-Storms (NERC funded: 2022-2024), which is a collaborative research projects with University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign and University of Oxford to deepen our understanding the potential source of predictability of European windstorm on a seasonal timescale.
  • HURACAN (NERC funded: 2023-2026) is a consortisum of multiple universities in the UK, such as Reading, Leeds, etc, and in the US, such as Stony Brook University, Columbia University and Pennsylvania State Univeristy. This project aims to explore the risk posed to Europe and United States by cyclones of tropical origin.

Kelvin also involved in other activities/projects, which concern about the weather forecasting, impact of extreme events and climate change, such as Met Office summer testbed 2023, SR-Hazards (funded by Swiss Re, 2022-2023) and TSLS-CMIP6 (a subproject of the Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon).

Other activities

  • Member of the Royal Meteorological Society (RMetS)
  • Member of the European Geosciences Union (EGU)


Recent publications


Ng, K, Leckebusch, G & Hodges, K 2022, 'A causality-guided statistical approach for modeling extreme Mei-yu rainfall based on known large-scale modes—a pilot study', Advances in Atmospheric Science, vol. 39, no. 11, pp. 1925-1940. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-1348-3

Mitchell, D, Stone, E, Andrews, O, Bamber, J, Bingham, R, Browse, J, Henry, M, MacLeod, D, Morten, J, Sauter, C, Smith, C, Thomas, J, Thomson, S, Wilson, J & the Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon Participants 2022, 'The Bristol CMIP6 data hackathon', Weather, vol. 77, no. 6, pp. 218-221. https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4161

Grinsted, A, Bamber, J, Bingham, R, Buzzard, S, Nias, I, Ng, K & Weeks, J 2022, 'The transient sea level response to external forcing in CMIP6 models', Earth's Future, vol. 10, no. 10, e2022EF002696. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002696

Ng, KS & Leckebusch, GC 2021, 'A new view on the risk of typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 663-682. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021


Leckebusch, G, Degenhardt, L, Barrie, E, Ng, K & Spreitzer, E 2023, 'Assessing the boundaries of seasonal forecast skill for European winter storms from different hindcast suites', EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24/04/23 - 28/04/23. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14695

Zhang, X, Leckebusch, G & Ng, K 2023, 'Objective Tracking of Tropical Cyclones and their Impact on Relevant Wind Fields in the West-Pacific for Constructions of Physically Consistent Event Sets', EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24/04/23 - 28/04/23. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3390

Ng, K, Leckebusch, G & Hodges, K 2022, 'A Causality-guided Approach for Predicting Future Changes in Extreme Rainfall over China Using Known Large-scale Modes', EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23/05/22 - 27/05/22. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4588

Ng, K, Leckebusch, G & Hodges, K 2022, 'Extreme Mei-yu Rainfall Over China Using Causal-Physical Drivers', AGU Fall Meeting 2022 , 12/12/22 - 18/12/22.

Leckebusch, G & Ng, K 2022, 'Using Non-realised Physical-consistent Storms from Ensemble Predictions for Parametric Typhoon Insurance – A Conceptual Approach', AGU Fall Meeting 2022 , 12/12/22 - 18/12/22.

Leckebusch, G & Ng, K 2021, 'A New View on Compound Hazard of Typhoon in China', 18th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Singapore, 1/08/21 - 6/08/21.

Commissioned report

Acton, J, Anderson, P, Andres, L, Angus, M, Amor, P, Arrowsmith, J (ed.), Asmelash, H, Bartington, S (ed.), Bengtsson, F, Bhullar, L, Bloss, W, Bonet, B, Börner, S, O Bonsu, N, Bryson, JR, Burns, V, Burrows, A, Calvert, C, Cassidy, N, Cavoski, A, Chadyiwa, M, Chapman, H, Chapman, L, Cockram, M, Degendardt, L, Dickinson, D, Ding, Y, Dobrzynski, D, Dolo, M, Dora, J, Ercolani, M, Ersoy, A, Farag, H, Ferranti, E, Fisher, R, Freer, M, Goldmann, N, Goode, CE, Greenham, S, Gulati, S, Hadfield-Hill, S, Harper, G, Hegerl, G, Hillmansen, S, Holmes, J, Huang, JJ, Huser, C, Jackson, R, Jaroszweski, D, Jefferson, I, Johnson, J, Kaewunruen, S, Kelly-Akinnuoye, F, Kettles, G, Kraftl, P, Krause, S, Leckebusch, GC, Lee, R, Lockwood, B (ed.), Lohse, J, Luna Diez, E, Lynch, I (ed.), MacKenzie, R, Maddison, D, Makepeace, J, Mann, V, Marino, R, Mavronicola, N, McDonald, M, McGowan, K (ed.), Metje, N, Ng, K, Nicol, J, O'Sullivan, C, Phalkey, N, Prestwood, E, Pyatt, N, Quinn, A, Radcliffe, J (ed.), Ravi, M, Reardon, L, Reeder, T, O’Regan, P, Remedios, L, Roberts, J, Rogers, C, Rungskunroch, P, van Schaik, W, Swan, J (ed.), Thomson, I, Toft, H (ed.), Tong, J, Botello Villagrana, F, Walton, A, Wason, C (ed.), Weir, C, Wood, R & Zhong, J 2021, Addressing the climate challenge. University of Birmingham. https://doi.org/10.25500/epapers.bham.00003451

Conference contribution

Ng, K, Leckebusch, G & Hodges, K 2023, Understanding the Potential Changes in Causal-Physical Drivers of Extreme Mei-yu Precipitation and Potential Applications. in EGU General Assembly 2023. European Geosciences Union, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24/04/23. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5494


Ng, K, Leckebusch, G & Hodges, K 2023, 'Application of Machine Learning in Predicting Current and Future Climate Extremes in China', Paper presented at Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 20th Annual Meeting, Singapore, 30/07/23 - 4/08/23.

Leckebusch, G, Ng, K, Degenhardt, L & Scaife, A 2023, 'Seasonal predictability of extreme cyclones and storms', Paper presented at World Climate Research Programme Open Science Conference, Kigali, Rwanda, 23/10/23 - 27/10/23.

Leckebusch, G, Ng, K, Walz, M, Angus, M & Mamadjanova, G 2023, 'Towards a Robust Hazard Assessment for the Current and a Changing Climate', Paper presented at World Climate Research Programme Open Science Conference, Kigali, Rwanda, 23/10/23 - 27/10/23.

View all publications in research portal