Tackling uncertainty in climate projections

Dr Gregor Leckebusch has won a major grant as part of the Climate Science for Service Partnership (CSSP) China project sponsored by the Newton fund, to look at uncertainty in climate projections. 

The project will consider the different reasons for uncertainty in information about potential future climate change. It will investigate new methods of assessing the uncertainty of future climate projections, including the use of constraints from historical observations, and comparing ranges of future changes using different simulations. 

The CSSP – China is a scientific research programme led in the UK by the Met Office and in China by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) at the Chinese Academy of Sciences. 

Dr Leckebusch won the £300k grant for the FOREX proposal: Fostering Regional Decision Making by the Assessment of Uncertainties of Future Regional Extremes and their Linkage to Global Climate System Variability for China and East Asia

FOREX is a collaboration project between the University of Birmingham (Dr GC Leckebusch; Professor R Elliott, Department of Economics) and the University of Reading (Dr K Hodges, Department for Meteorology) and will have a duration of three years.