8th Windstorm workshop programme

View all session and poster abstracts here

Monday 28th October: 

13:00-14:00:        Welcome Lunch and registration

14:00-14:15:        Opening remarks

Session 1: Climate change, variability and potential impacts on Europe’s resiliency to windstorms

Session Chair:      Gregor C. Leckebusch

14:15-14:35:        Invited Talk, Irina Rudeva: Synoptic activity during amplified mid-latitude planetary waves.

14:35-14:55:        Oliver Krueger: Reconstructions of Northeast Atlantic and German Bight storm activity from the late 19th century onwards

14:55-15:15:        Michael Angus: The impact of the Atlantic Hurricane season on the subsequent European Windstorm  Season

15:15-15:35:        Afternoon refreshment break

15:35-15:55:        Lisa Degenhardt: The role of upper vs. lower tropospheric baroclinicity on severe storms over Central Europe and Iceland: observational results and climate scenarios

15:55-16:15:        Colin Manning: Assessing the added value of convection permitting climate simulations for the representation of sting-jets and associated extreme wind speeds in European wind storms

16:15-17:00:        Poster Highlights, short (2-3 minute) talks by each poster presenter.

Session Chair:      Michael Angus.

17:00-18:00:        Icebreaker at venue with refreshments  

Tuesday 29th October: 

Session 2: Industry applications and storm quantification: alternative views on risk

Session Chair:     Christoph Raible

9:00-9:20:            Invited Talk, Len Shaffrey: Historical extreme storms as a tool for understanding risk

9:20-9:40:            Julia Lockwood: Using PRIMAVERA high-resolution global climate models to make a European windstorm event set

9:40-10:00:          Chris Webber: Sensitivities of European Extratropical Cyclone Insured Losses to the North Atlantic Oscillation

10:00-10:20:        Richard Dixon: Insurance industry losses from 6000 years of windstorms in a high resolution ensemble climate model

10:20-10:40:        Morning refreshment break

Session 3: Industry applications and storm quantification: climate services perspective

Session Chair:     Geovanni Leoncini

10:40-11:00:        Invited Talk, Bernd Eggen: What the Copernicus Climate Change Service Evaluation and Quality Control Framework Can Do for the Insurance Community

11:00-11:20:        Alan Whitelaw: Copernicus Climate Change Service Operational Windstorm Service - Update and Way Forward

11:20-11:40:        Bernd Becker: Generation of stochastic winter wind storm events in Europe based on the last generation of dynamical and statistical methods. An AXA joint research initiative.

11:40 -12:00:      Laura Dawkins: A comparison of approaches for representing windstorm footprints using observations and meteorological models, and the impact on insurance loss estimation: A joint research initiative, Met Office and AXA

12:00-13:00:        Lunch in the restaurant

13:00-14:30:        Poster session

Session Chair:      Michael Angus

  • Laura Batchelor: Co-occurrence of extreme precipitation and wind associated with extratropical cyclones over Europe
  • Richard Dixon: European Windstorm Research Priorities for the Insurance Industry: 2019 Revisit
  • Emanuele Silvio Gentile: The impact of atmosphere, ocean and waves coupling on extreme surface wind forecast
  • Hilde Haakenstad: NORA3 - a non-hydrostatic regional hindcast for the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea
  • John Hillier: Observations Relating Extreme Multi-Basin River Flows to Very Severe Gales
  • Matthew Priestley: The Northern Hemisphere storm track and bomb cyclone representation in CMIP6
  • Len Shaffrey: The WINDSURFER project: Past, current and future European wind and wave risk
  • Linda Van Garderen: A Spectrally Nudged Global Storyline: Attributing the Effect of Climate Change in Historical Extreme Events.
  • Alexander Vessey: Arctic Storm Characteristics between Storm Tracking Algorithms and their Structure
  • Michael Walz: How much flavour can climate model data add to benchmarking a 200-year return period European winter storm event?
  • Kirien Whan: Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using parametric and non-parametric statistical post-processing methods
  • Xiaoyu Xiong: Data fusion with Gaussian processes for estimation of environmental hazard events

Session 4: Flooding and wind extremes from a dynamical perspective

Session Chair:     Suzanne Grey

14:30-14:50:        Invited Talk, Jennifer Catto: The role of cyclones, fronts and thunderstorms in compound precipitation, wind, and wave extremes

14:50-15:10:        Florian Pantillion: Dynamics of sting-jet storm "Egon" over continental Europe: impact of surface properties and model resolution

15:10-15:30:        Margardia Liberato: Wind and precipitation extremes on the Iberian Peninsula and                             associated cyclones

15:30-15:50:        Afternoon refreshments break

15:50-16:10:        Frauke Feser: North Atlantic winter storm activity in modern reanalyses and pressure-based observations

16:10-16:30:        Christian Passow: Feature-based classification of European windstorms

16:30-16:50:        Oliver Halliday: Understanding the risk from correlated windstorms and floods in the UK

19:00:                    Conference Dinner, Cuore at the Green Heart on University of Birmingham campus

Wednesday 30th October: 

Session 5:            Predicting windstorms: weather forecasting and seasonal to decadal prediction

Session Chair:     Frauke Feser

8:30-8:50:            Invited Talk, Oscar Martinez-Alvardo: A prototype real-time sting jet precursor tool for forecasters

8:50-9:10:            Hilke Lentink: The impact of 1-way and 2-way nesting on the simulation of European windstorms

9:10-9:30:            Gregor C. Leckebusch: Seasonal Forecasting of European Windstorms and robust estimation of loss potentials.

9:30-9:50:            Florian Pantillion: Gust formation during a windstorm in the light of Doppler lidar observations and large-eddy simulations

9:50-10:10:         Morning refreshment break

10:10-11:30:       Breakout Sessions

Session 1:            Convened by Richard Dixon: "Building sustained industry-academic partnerships through novel techniques in windstorm impact assessment"

Session 2:            Convened by Gregor C. Leckebusch, Len Shaffrey and Michael Angus: “How to better communicate the community's European Windstorm research and impact to a wider audience"?

Session 3:            Open for conference discussion

11:30-12:00:        Breakout session wrap up and general discussion on format for next year

12.00:                    Close